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Possible Tidal Surge 21st Dec


Tobster

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The tide at Lowestoft was 1.5m above predicted level but thankfully, after not going out very far at all on the following low tide, it now seems to be returning to more predictable levels.

I suspect other places other than the Broads were affected up and down the East Coast too

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Guidance

River modelling: technical standards and assessment

Standards for the flood risk management industry on how to build and review hydraulic models and provide evidence for flood risk management decisions.

Members with time & inclination may find this updated document issued today by DEFRA 

  https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/river-modelling-technical-standards-and-assessment?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=govuk-notifications-topic&utm_source=59da2b1e-77bd-4bdd-99b0-ae050ac5ad92&utm_content=daily

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This is now the highest tide we’ve seen here at Thorpe St Andrew in 19 years of being on the island. Chickens have been rescued and furniture raised up in the bungalow. Last time it was like this Roger’s two girls actually canoed through the bungalow. 
IMG_1301.thumb.jpeg.fea41f776a677795c58b0e2c837fff8d.jpegIMG_1302.thumb.jpeg.4e770b4c12932e8c2a77eee1691253e6.jpegIMG_1305.thumb.jpeg.54ccc6a37ac53d8f309afd59168335e1.jpeg

The quay heading our end is a lot higher. The bungalow and workshops and associated boardwalks are all underwater.

Merry Christmas everyone.

Colin :default_xmas6:

 

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5 hours ago, marshman said:

The tide at Lowestoft was 1.5m above predicted level but thankfully, after not going out very far at all on the following low tide, it now seems to be returning to more predictable levels.

I suspect other places other than the Broads were affected up and down the East Coast too

Odd you should say that. I cast an eye over Romney Marsh this morning and, apart from the odd puddle here and there,  It showed no evidence of flooding. But then again, the Broads Authority's writ doesn't apply here and the drains are kept well-dredged by the farmers. 

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To be fair Steve, the situation is not really comparable at all.

Any surge coming down the North Sea is effectively "stopped" to some extent by the Dover Straits which acts like a neck of a bottle and in relative terms the Romney Marsh is quite a small area - neither does it have any major rivers draining through it. Someone somewhere may know the actual figure, but the catchment area of the 3 main rivers draining out through GY is enormous - I doubt its much less than 1500 sq miles! (Thats a total guess off the top of my head!)

If the BA were responsible for drainage of fields and marshes, then your tolls may be even higher - thats down to the IDB's who generally cope quite well but like many places they can only cope with a certain amount that falls out of the sky!! What occurred last night was just not a very high tide, aided and abetted by a NW breeze, but a classic example of a (blocking) tide where the tide didn't just go out very much if at all -see here

https://ntslf.org/data/realtime?port=Lowestoft and the chart for Brundall above

 

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